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Carnival forecasts robust 2025 bookings as cruise demand booms

Cruise operator Carnival Corp forecast strong bookings for 2025 ahead of the busy summer travel season, riding the wave of strong spending on experiences even as prices increase, sending its shares up about 5% on Friday.

The resilient demand for cruise vacations also helped Carnival post better-than-expected profit and sales for the fourth quarter, but the company forecast annual profit below estimates due to rising input costs and advertising spending.

“2025 is shaping up to be another banner year, with yield growth expected to far outpace historical growth rates and again exceed unit cost growth,” CEO Josh Weinstein said in a statement.

The 2,052-passenger Carnival Imagination is anchored off the coast of Half Moon Cay, a private Bahamian island available to Carnival Cruise Lines’ guests. (Photo by Andy Newman/Carnival Cruise Lines)

On a constant currency basis, Carnival’s cumulative advanced booked position for next year is at an all-time high for occupancy and price, with both surpassing 2024 in all four quarters of 2025.

Carnival, like peers Royal Caribbean  and Norwegian Cruise Line has been investing in private-island destinations, seeking to attract young voyagers and boost returns.

Operating costs associated with these investments, maintenance costs due to increased dry dock days and expenses from the deal-heavy wave season weighed on the profit forecast.

“Cruise lines have historically started the year on the conservative side with their guides given the various global uncertainties,” said Patrick Scholes, analyst with Truist Securities.

He expects to see opportunity for quarterly earnings beats and raises. (Reuters)

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